Jonathan Huefner, Gabriella Garaycochea, Kurt Gold, Ron Bulbulian, and Gia Thinh Davis Truong
In 1961 the American Heart Association began recommending a low-fat diet on the premise that high saturated fat intake led to increased coronary artery disease. By 1980 this was endorsed by the USDA for general implementation, which is when the current unprecedented escalation of both diabetes and American obesity began.
Several nutrition experts now question if low-fat dietary guidelines resulted in carbohydrate sustitution, an observation supported by increased United States sugar consumption (Table I). Similarly, Americans also increased consumption of hydrogenated (“trans fats”) and subsequently plant-source polyunsaturated oils to replace the reduced animal fats (lard, tallow, etc).
Inspite of American success at reducing coronary artery disease-related mortality, the overall prevalence of atherogenesis-related diseases has continued at high levels internationally, and are now increasing in countries including China, India and Russia.
Similarlydespite public health successes locally like overall smoking reduction there is evidence of increased incidence of both Parkinson's disease and Alzheimer’s disease without comparable success in either secondary prevention or effective treatment for these common dementias.
Alzheimer’s symptoms were formally described by Alois Alzheimer in 1906. Stephan Guyenet charted US sugar consumption using US Departments off Commerce and Agriculture data since the 1820’s, which revealed a striking increase until quite recently (Chart I).
On review of current sugar vs fat intakes (Chart II) we see that American sugar intake is much higher than Russia’s (126 vs. 20 g/d), whereas daily US fat intake is similar (66 vs. 69 g). Of interest, the US has a much higher Alzheimer’s disease-related death rate (45.6/100k) compared to Russia’s (2.2/100k). This led us to explore the relationship between diet and several Modern diseases, including dementia
We found significant (p < 0.001) correlations (n=52 countries*) between estimated daily sugar intake, Alzheimer’s, & Parkinson’s-related death rates of different countries.
QUESTION:
- Does excessive sugar intake correlate with atherogenesis
Alzheimer’s
The stepwise multivariable regression analysis for Alzheimer’s yielded 3 variables in the best fit model: milk, stroke, and fish
(F (3, 49) = 29.96, p < .001). The multivariate correlation was R = .827, predicting 65% of the variance in Alzheimer’s rate in the 53-country sample. The standardized beta coefficients for the significant predictor variables in order of entry were:
•Milk: .62 (t = 6.06, p < .001) •Stroke: -.26 (t = -2.52, p < .015) Fish: .18 (t = 2.03, p < .048) Important questions for future investigation include (1) what would happen to the cognitive function in these patients if they decreased overall sugar (caloric?) intake significantly and (2) if they were able to do so successfully, would this reduce their risk of developing Alzheimer’s and/or Parkinson’s dementia(s).
Parkinson’s
The stepwise multivariable regression analysis for Parkinson’s yielded 4 variables in the best fit model: sugar, stroke, fish, and milk (F (4, 48) = 25.98, p < .001). The multivariate correlation was R = .827, predicting 65% of the variance of Parkinson’s rate in the 53-country sample. The standardized beta coefficients for the significant predictor variables in order of entry were:
•Sugar: .39 (t = 3.01, p < .004) •Stroke: -.22 (t = -1.96, p < .056) •Fish: .22 (t = 2.60, p < .012) •Milk: .30 (t = 2.54, p < .015)
Important questions for future investigation include (1) what would happen to the cognitive function in these patients if they decreased overall sugar (caloric?) intake significantly and (2) if they were able to do so successfully, would this reduce their risk of developing Alzheimer’s and/or Parkinson’s dementia(s).
The data were analyzed with a statistical software package (SPSS 25). Stepwise multiple regression analysis was used to sequentially identify the most parsimonious set of significant predictors for Parkinson’s and Alzheimer’s. Predictor variables were annual estimates of: sugar, milk, meat, fish, and alcohol consumption; obesity, stroke hypertension, cancer, and diabetes rates; tobacco use; obesity; and gross domestic product purchasing power parity (GDP-PPP) for 53 countries. Data came from on-line, publicly available World Health Organization (WHO), United Nations (UN), Global Change Data Lab, and World Bank sources.
These results provide preliminary support that there is an important relationship between Parkinson's disease and dietary factors such as sugar, fish, and milk consumption. There is a likewise strong potential relationship between milk and fish intake for Alzheimer's disease.
It is interesting that stroke was a significant negative predictor in both dementia types. The apparent “protective” effect of stroke (negative correlation) may be simply the prevention of dementia via earlier stroke-related death. The opposite may be true for what is happening with fish, where greater fish intake (a positive correlation) may correlate with longer life and thus higher probability of dementia.
The impact of the other significant correlates for dementia risk from increased milk or sugar intake are less obvious. Does more milk correlate with increased carbohydrate/cereal intake? The potential relationship between dietary factors and dementia provides a clarion call for future prospective studies based on individual health data to better clarify how these factors might predispose us to either of these common dementias.
Further investigation is needed. Specific examples for future studies include (1) examining the effects of significantly decreasing milk and/or sugar intake on cognitive function / extent of atherogenesis in participants with successful diet change as compared to those without, and (2) if maintaining these dietary changes long-term does reduce the risk of developing Alzheimer’s and/or Parkinson’s disease.
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*Countries included in this review, listed in order of greatest to the least daily sugar intake include: United States, Germany, Netherlands, Ireland, Australia, Belgium, United Kingdom, Mexico, Finland, Canada, Austria, Sweden, Norway, New Zealand, Saudi Arabia, Switzerland, Denmark, Argentina, Czech Republic, Spain, France, Slovakia, Chile, Italy, Poland, Japan, Greece, Peru, Portugal, Hungary, Brazil, United Arab Emirates, South Africa, Bulgaria, Columbia, Turkey, Malaysia, Singapore, Romania, South Korea, Venezuela, Thailand, Vietnam, Philippines, Russia, Egypt, Morocco, Ukraine, China, Indonesia, Israel, and India.